If you were to ask Ted Bauman about where he thinks the US stock market is going in the future, he would tell you that the market is setting up for a major decline. Ted Bauman is an economist who specializes in low-risk investment strategies. He works at Banyan Hill Publishing and is the editor of three newsletters, each of which provides individuals with sound investment advice. He earned degrees in history and economics. He spent much of his life living in South Africa, where his managerial roles in housing projects meant to assist those in need. Much of his life’s experiences have made him realize that society should step up to help those less fortunate.
One of the factors that Ted Bauman feels will lead to a stock market crash is that the stock market is way overvalued. Mr. Bauman uses the CAPE ratio as a tool to determine if an asset is overvalued or undervalued. According to the ratio, the stock market is as overvalued now as it was during the tech boom in the late 1990’s. Once more investors come to the same conclusion about the stock market being overvalued, they will all try to sell at once.Ted Bauman believes that the trade war is another major factor that could push US stocks into a bear market.
According to Bauman, He feels that if the Trump Administration and the Chinese government can’t come to terms, the Chinese will act and punish US multinational companies. This will hurt the earnings of many of these corporations and it will eventually lead to lower stock prices.Ted Bauman and a financial analysts feel that rising interest rates could be the catalyst to bring down the US stock market. Higher interest rates are going to get investors to leave the stock market and run into the bond market as higher bond yields entice more investors. Higher interest rates are also going to weigh down on the US economy. The US has a load of debt and higher interest rates are going to make it harder for the government to service the debt.